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Monthly Archives: October 2010

Looking Ahead to the Third Quarter of 2011

As market participants focus on the health of the economy and corporate earnings in the recently completed third quarter of 2010, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers are likely debating the outlook for the economy in the third quarter of 2011 and beyond ……

 

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Economic_Commentary_10_25_10

 

Currency War

Fears of a “currency war,” in which countries devalue their currencies to gain a trade advantage, dominated headlines last week ahead of the weekend meetings in South Korea of the finance ministers from the 20 leading economies that make up the Group of 20 (G-20). Last week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, who also attended the meeting, publically commented that the U.S. desires a further depreciation of the dollar against the Chinese currency. He also noted that “the major currencies…are roughly in alignment now” a suggestion that he sees no need for the dollar to fall further against the euro and yen; however ……

 

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Individual Investors on a Buyers Strike

U.S. stocks, as measured by the S&P 500, are up 15% in the three and a half months since the beginning of the second half of 2010. Nonetheless, individual investors have remained net sellers during every week. In the past twenty five years, there has never been a three-month gain in the S&P 500 of 10% or more that was not accompanied by net inflows into equity mutual funds and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) (according to Investment Company Institute data). Why are individuals staying away from investing in the stock market?……
 

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Market_Commentary_10_18_10

Looking Ahead to the Third Quarter of 2011

 As market participants focus on the health of the economy and corporate earnings in the recently completed third quarter of 2010, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers are likely debating the outlook for the economy in the third quarter of 2011 and beyond.

This week, with a relatively light economic data calendar, the market’s focus may be on the third quarter earnings reports of S&P 500 companies, the Fed’s Beige Book and the full docket of Fed officials scheduled to make public appearances this week. Last week ……

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Economic_Commentary_10_18_10

Still Waiting For a Spark

This week, as the focus turns to the start of the corporate earnings-reporting season for the recently completed third quarter of 2010, investors will also have plenty of economic news to mull over, including key reports on:
 

·         The 2010 Federal Budget deficit
·         Manufacturing activity (in the New York region) for October
·         Consumer sentiment for the first half of October ……

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Economic_Commentary_10_12_10

Earnings Season Preview

Last week marked the traditional start of the earnings season with eight companies in the S&P 500 reporting, bringing the total number of companies releasing third quarter earnings to 30. This week will add another 15 to that total. With last week’s economic data bringing no surprises, investors are……

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Market_Commentary_10_12_10

 

It’s All About Jobs

 Market participants will have plenty to absorb in the first full week of the fourth quarter of 2010, as they reflect back on the best September for the S&P 500 since 1939, and begin to digest the first corporate earnings reports for the third quarter of 2010. On the economic front, the September employment report is likely to dominate the week, although there is plenty of other data due out, including the September chain ……

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Our “One and a Half Cents” on the Fourth Quarter

The stock market posted strong gains during the third quarter after rebounding from the low of the year that occurred near the end of the second quarter. The S&P 500 posted an 11% gain for the quarter. The strong gains during the quarter were far from steady. Volatility was high as the S&P 500 moved up and down within a 10% trading range. Cyclical, Mid-Cap ……

 

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Is Another Round of Quantitative Easing on the Way?

 There is an eclectic mix of events and data due out this week in the United States, as market participants:
·         Reflect on last week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement
·         Look ahead to the September jobs report, set to be released on Friday, October 8
·         Continue to assess the odds of a double-dip recession
 After digesting last week’s generally better-than-expected economic data, and hearing from ……
 

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Economic_Commentary_09_27_10