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Monthly Archives: February 2011

Markets May Hit the Ceiling

 Much attention has been focused on the federal debt approaching the $14.294 trillion debt ceiling and the showdown over spending in Congress as the ceiling is hit sometime in May. However, the markets have a more pressing fiscal concern. The government could face a shutdown this week if Congress does not agree to……

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Market_Commentary_2_28_11

What Is the Message From Oil Prices?

Oil prices have generally been rising since the lows in the economy and markets of early 2009. But, in recent weeks, the two most watched benchmarks for crude oil have decoupled. The price for Brent crude oil has moved sharply higher to over $100 per barrel, while the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has dropped back to……..

 

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Market_Commentary_2_24_11

 

Is 70s-Style Inflation in the Cards in the United States?

 Last week’s batch of U.S. economic data revealed ongoing strength in the U.S. economy in early 2011 despite the weather. Many of the economic indicators released last week for January 2011 (retail sales, housing starts, building permits, industrial production……

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weeky_Economic_Commentary_2_22_11

Meet The New Boss

 Egypt’s longstanding president, Hosni Mubarak, stepped down Friday, February 11, 2011 after 18 days of widespread protests. The turmoil and change in leadership in Egypt meant little for most stock and bond markets. Oil prices fell despite the potential disruption ……
 

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Market_Commentary_2_14_11

A Blockbuster Week for Policy and Data

After a quiet week for data and policy last week (February 7 – 11), this week is shaping up to be a blockbuster. On the policy front, President Obama releases his 2012 budget early in the week and the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of its latest Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting along with its most …….

 

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Economic_Commentary_2_14_11

 

 

Fighting the FED

 Facing a limited domestic economic calendar this week, market participants in the United States are likely to focus on the still unfolding political crisis in Egypt, another round of corporate earnings reports in the United States, several key overseas central bank meetings, Chinese economic data for January, and a full slate……

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Economic_Commentary_2_7_11

 

Devil’s Bargain

There are lots of ways to describe money: moolah, lean green, dinero…. I memorized one definition of “money” from an economic textbook way back in 1966: “A medium of exchange and a store of value,” it said. Well, yes, I suppose, although it failed miserably in the latter ……
 

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www.mwboone.com/library/BillGross_Devils_Bargain_2_9_11

Do Rising Bond Yields Pose A Problem For Stocks?

 After being stuck in a tight range around 3.5% since mid-December, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note jumped higher to 3.65% last week. This rise was in response to the generally stronger economic data and the inflation signal coming from higher commodity prices. The yield on the 10- year Treasury note has risen by about ……

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www.mwboone.com/library/Weekly_Market_Commentary_2_7_11

Why Three Top Bond Managers Like Equities

You’ll rarely – perhaps never – hear a fund manager say that market conditions do not favor investing in their chosen asset class. That’s why it was so remarkable when several prominent managers recently admitted that…..

www.mwboone.com/library/Why_Three_Top_Bond_Managers_Like_Equities

Eaton Vance on Taxes and Politics

The year-end tax compromise Congress recently passed, and the president’s motivations for entering into it, provide insights into what may lie ahead when Congress reconvenes in January.

First, the terms of the compromise (H.R. 4853):
    • The Bush tax cuts are extended for all income levels through year-end 2012. As a result,  

www.mwboone.com/library/Behind_and_Beyond_the_2010_Tax_Compromise