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Monthly Archives: March 2012

The Long Road Home

This week brings a mix of policy and data, but the Supreme Court’s consideration of the Affordable Care Act will likely draw most of the media’s attention. This week’s U.S. economic data is a mix of data on…

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The Long Road Home

10 Indicators to Watch for Another Spring Slide

In each of the past two years the stock market began a slide in the spring, a phenomenon often referred to by the old adage “sell in May and go away,” which lasted well into the summer months. Are stocks poised to repeat the pattern this year? We have identified 10 indicators to watch closely in the coming weeks that may warn of an impending slide…

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10 Indicators to Watch for Another Spring Slide

Warmer Weather to the Rescue?

Housing is the dominant theme on this week’s economic and policy calendar. Reports on homebuilder sentiment for March as well as housing starts, building permits, new home sales and existing home sales for February will compete for the market’s attention this week. Much warmer – than – usual weather during the first two months of 2012 will likely boost housing- related data. Outside of housing…

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Warmer Weather to the Rescue?

Stocks’ Sweet Sixteen

It has been a sweet sixteen weeks for the S&P 500. The broad stock market index has had only three down weeks out of the past sixteen. There has not been a sixteen-week period with fewer weeks of losses in over 20 years — since the period ending September 1, 1989!

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Stocks’ Sweet Sixteen

To QE or not to QE?

The Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) policymaking arm, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) highlights this week’s relative busy mid-month economic and policy calendar. We take a closer look at Fed policy in this week’s publication. Elsewhere, after larger-than-expected rate cuts last week by central banks in Brazil and India, rate setting meetings are scheduled this week in Mexico, Norway, Switzerland and Japan…

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To QE or not to QE?

Best Bull Market Ever…Now What?

The three-year anniversary of the bull market took place on Friday, March 9. In the three years since March 9, 2009, the S&P 500 index is up 103% (with a 116% total return including dividends). This has been the strongest bull market since WWII…

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Best Bull Market Ever…Now What?

Think the Unthinkable

In general, humans are very positive and optimistic, which is great. It allows you to enjoy your careers and families and dream of your lives improving for both yourselves and your children. While this confidence serves you well most of the time…

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Think the Unthinkable

Arab Spring 2

Hollywood has a thing for sequels. So do the markets. In recent weeks, we have pointed to the rise in the stock market and the euro early this year as mirroring those gains of early 2011. While stock market gains and currency moves can certainly grab headlines, they lack the drama of a move in oil prices. The move higher in oil prices so far this year is similar…

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Arab Spring 2

Market Volatility History

In our experience, people tend to look at the stock market in one of two ways…

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Market Volatility History