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Monthly Archives: July 2012

Not All Surprises are Created Equal

When was the last time that you were surprised by your investment portfolio? Was the surprise a positive or negative one? If you are like most people, you will remember negative surprises much better…

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 Not All Surprises are Created Equal

Beige Book Window on Main Street More Uncertainty, but Economy Still Growing

The Federal Reserve (Fed) released its Beige Book — one of our favorite economic reports — last Wednesday, July 18, 2012. The report provides market participants with valuable insights into the economy and the future of the Fed’s monetary policy actions. On balance, the latest Beige Book suggests that while economic and policy uncertainty is on the rise, the economy continues to…

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Beige Book Window on Main Street More Uncertainty, but Economy Still Growing

Will Economic Surprises Bring a Market Surprise?

Economic data continues to disappoint. The economic surprise index, which measures whether data reports come in better or worse than economists’ estimates, has continued to fall for the world’s largest 10 economies…

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Will Economic Surprises Bring a Market Surprise?

Giving Credit

Most of the Spring Slide indicators that we defined back in March 2012 are still pointing to the weakness that they signaled ahead of this year’s stock market slide that began in April 2012. However, some bright spots are beginning to emerge that deserve some credit. One of them is credit…

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Giving Credit

Media Matters

The economic recovery that began in June 2009 turned three last month. At this point in a typical recovery market participants debate whether or not growth is too fast and when the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to raise rates to head off a bout of inflation. Instead, for the third consecutive summer…

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Media Matters

What To Expect When You’re Expecting

What To Expect When You’re Expecting is the title of a best-selling book for expectant parents. It is also a comedy about pregnancy that is one of the top-20 grossing films this year. But more importantly for investors, it is a theme for the stock market’s recent behavior.…

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What To Expect When You’re Expecting

Vacation Week Fireworks?

Although many market participants are likely to be away from the office this week, they risk missing a busy week for economic data (see the calendar on page 3), which is sandwiched between a policy-heavy June 2012 and the unofficial start of the corporate earnings reporting season on July 9. As this publication was being prepared, markets have already digested several key economic reports…

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Vacation Week Fireworks?

Low interest rates: Who wins, who loses?

The interest rate on a 30-year mortgage recently dropped to a record low. That’s great news for people buying a home or refinancing. But not everyone is thrilled about low interest rates. For retirees, Bellevue financial advisor Michael Boone says low interest rates are “incredibly destructive.”

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Low interest rates: Who wins, who loses?

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing.

Dividend paying stock investing involves risk including loss of principal.

The Second Half

In the first half of the year, investors focused on the need for capital by European banks. In the second half, all eyes will turn to the U.S. capitol and the upcoming elections…

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The Second Half