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Monthly Archives: October 2012

Is Retirement Broken? Inconceivable!

How people reallocate their time when moving from their working years into retirement can tell us a great deal about the state of retirement in America. Do we spend our Golden Years living life to the full or does retired life look suspiciously like our working years?

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Is Retirement Broken? Inconceivable!

Post-Election Apprehension

Our view remains that a closely divided and hard-fought election will be followed by more fighting in a divisive and bitter lame duck session in Congress, resulting in higher volatility and a potential pullback for the stock market. As the race continues to tighten, the market shed…

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Post-Election Apprehension

The “Wall Street” Election Poll

In the past week ending Wednesday, the LPL Financial “Wall Street” Election Poll Index reflected a modest further move toward Republican favored industries relative to those favored by Democrats, a move that began following the first presidential debate…

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The “Wall Street” Election Poll

Battle of the Central Banks

Despite Friday’s sharp drop as companies reported poor earnings results, the S&P 500 Index posted a gain last week. This week, vying for investors’ attention from the flood of generally weak earnings reports will be the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday. The Fed is highly likely to confirm on Wednesday that it is…

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Battle of the Central Banks

Gauging Global Growth in 2013

The broadest measure of the health of the U.S. economy is Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This Friday, October 26, 2012, the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce will release its initial estimate of GDP for the third quarter of 2012. The consensus is looking for a…

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Gauging Global Growth in 2013

The “Wall Street” Election Poll

In the past week ending Wednesday, the LPL Financial “Wall Street” Election Poll Index reflected little change relative to the impact of the first debate that resulted in a large move toward Republican-favored industries relative to those favored by Democrats…

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The “Wall Street” Election Poll

Hard Data on China Still Point to Soft Landing

We continue to expect a soft landing in China in 2012, i.e., Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth between 7% and 8%, which is below consensus estimates. When we last focused on China in the Weekly Economic Commentary in mid-August 2012, we noted that additional monetary and fiscal stimulus in China could happen at any time, and markets would…

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Hard Data on China Still Point to Soft Landing

Companies Finding It Harder To Manufacture Profits

Third quarter earnings are expected to be flat to slightly negative compared with a year ago. So far, 35 companies in the S&P 500 have reported earnings for the third quarter of 2012. This week, 80 companies are scheduled to report. While investors are very focused on what the profits were for the past quarter, it is what they may turn out to be over the next several quarters that will likely have…

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Companies Finding It Harder To Manufacture Profits

The “Wall Street” Election Poll

In the past week ending Wednesday, the LPL Financial “Wall Street” Election Poll Index reflected the impact of the debate and a large move toward Republican-favored industries relative to those favored by Democrats. This is the first…

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The “Wall Street” Election Poll

What’s the Fed’s Number?

The Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) phone number is 202-452-3000, but the number most financial market participants are looking for is the Fed’s assessment of the number of jobs the economy needs to create the sustained improvement in the labor market they are seeking. The September 2012 employment report (released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday, October 5, 2012), while generating plenty of political chatter, did little to…

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What’s the Fed’s Number?