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Monthly Archives: October 2012

The Five Long Years

This week will mark five long years since the S&P 500 reached its all-time peak on October 9, 2007. As you can see in Figure 1, the stock market has been oscillating in a wide range for 15 years. Doubling and then falling by half over and over again. The latest is the fifth leg in the pattern of ups and downs. As the S&P 500 nears the 1565 all-time high, now just 7% away, is the market poised to…

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The Five Long Years

Fourth Quarter Bond Market Outlook

The best days of 2012 have likely already passed for bond investors. During the third quarter of 2012, most bond sectors witnessed price gains that helped push the broad Barclays Aggregate Bond Index to a 4.0% year-to-date return, the upper end of our low-to-mid single-digit total return forecast initially…

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Fourth Quarter Bond Market Outlook

The “Wall Street” Election Poll

Ahead of the debates, in the past week ending Wednesday, the LPL October 4, 2012 Financial “Wall Street” Election Poll Index reflected a move to the highest levels of the year for Democrat-favored industries relative to those favored by Republicans. The market continued to increasingly reflect a status quo election outcome…

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The “Wall Street” Election Poll

A Fiscal New Year’s Resolution

This week marks Golden Week, a national holiday in China. However, the United States has its own holiday to observe. Today begins a new fiscal year for the U.S. government. Unfortunately, a new year likely brings another trillion in federal debt to add to the mounting total. The proportion of U.S. federal government debt held by the public reached…

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A Fiscal New Year’s Resolution

Are You Better Off?

It was one of the most famous moments in the history of presidential debates. About a week before the 1980 election, Ronald Reagan asked the nation, “…are you better off than you were four years ago?” With the first presidential debate between President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney scheduled for this Wednesday, October 3, 2012, the theme of “are you better off” is beginning to…

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Are You Better Off?