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Monthly Archives: July 2013

Midsummer Madness

Eight times a year, the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting becomes the focal point for market participants. Four times each year, the first look at the health of the economy in the prior quarter (via the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s (BEA) report on gross domestic product [GDP]), dominates the headlines. Similarly, at the start of each month, the Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) and the monthly labor market report from the U.S. Department of Labor are the centerpieces of any trading week. This week (July 29 – August 2, 2013), all four of these key events are on the docket…

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Midsummer Madness

Beige Book: Window on Main Street

 The latest edition of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) Beige Book, released on July 17, 2013, described the economy as increasing at a modest-to-moderate pace, with little wage or inflation pressures. Housing and commercial real estate were mentioned as key drivers of growth. The report, along with comments made by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke at his semi-annual Monetary Policy Testimony to Congress last week…..

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Beige Book: Window on Main Street

Real and Sustainable: An Update

Just prior to the release of the May 2013 employment, report, we wrote in our June 3, 2013, Weekly Economic Commentary: Real and Sustainable, that in the coming months…

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Real and Sustainable: An Update

The Right Recipe for Stocks

The summer means cookouts. The recipe for success is usually simple: take a basic ingredient, add some characteristic flavors, and apply some heat. The recipe for stock market investing success may be as simple as taking the S&P 500 and adding the characteristics provided by buybacks as the market heats up in the second half of the year. Some characteristics to consider for a good core U.S. stock portfolio for the second half include…

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The Right Recipe for Stocks

Mid-Year Outlook

The investment landscape for the first half of 2013 has proven to be a tough one to navigate. And this is likely to continue through the second half of this year. There is a lot of rocky terrain and potentially some surprises ahead that investors need to prepare for. The performance of the markets is likely to converge in the second half of the year on a path that likely holds…

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Mid-Year Outlook