In the wake of the release of the monthly jobs report, many financial market participants are debating the seeming disconnect between the weak first quarter of economic growth and the recent run of strong data for April, May,and especially June 2014. The rapid improvement in the labor market, and in other economic data reported over the past several months, is at odds with the 2.9% decline in gross domestic product (GDP) in the first quarter of 2014. Which is correct? We continue to expect that economic growth may rebound to a 3% pace for all of 2014.* In fact, the return to a more normal weather pattern nationwide has already led to a sharp snapback in economic activity.